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#386960 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 01.Nov.2010)
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
500 PM AST MON NOV 01 2010

...DISORGANIZED TOMAS MOVING TOWARD THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 69.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNE OF ARUBA
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI