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| #387666 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 04.Nov.2010) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2100 UTC THU NOV 04 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36 HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 76.0W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......105NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 76.0W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 76.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.8N 75.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N 74.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 72.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.8N 71.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 29.0N 64.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 76.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN |
