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| #3923 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 05.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0300Z FRI AUG 06 2004 RAPID VARIATIONS IN HARBOR WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 12 AM AND 3 AM LOCAL TIME ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE AVALON PENINSULA ...BETWEEN CAPE RACE AND CAPE SAINT FRANCIS...AND ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA AND POSSIBLY CONCEPTION BAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.9N 47.4W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 39 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 50SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 300SE 300SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 400SE 300SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.9N 47.4W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.3N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 46.4N 40.1W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 50SE 25SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 300SE 300SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 47.1N 29.9W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 300SE 300SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 47.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 250SE 250SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...ABSORBED INTO EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.9N 47.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
