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| #4093 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 09.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 0300Z TUE AUG 10 2004 INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 64.1W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 64.1W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 63.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.1N 66.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.2N 70.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.3N 73.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.4N 76.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.8N 83.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 24.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 64.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z FORECASTER RHOME/LAWRENCE |
