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| #41406 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 23.Aug.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE JOSE IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD...OR 270/08...ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND TEXAS. JOSE COULD DISSIPATE SOONER THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS INDICATING ...BUT A 12H FORECAST POINT WAS PROVIDED FOR CONTINUITY PURPOSES. ALTHOUGH JOSE IS DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE SLOW MOVING REMNANT MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE DAY OR TWO. THIS WILL BE THE LAST OFFICIAL FORECAST ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 19.7N 98.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 12HR VT 24/0000Z 19.7N 99.3W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 24HR VT 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND |
