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| #4149 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 10.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 2100Z TUE AUG 10 2004 WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL AREAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 90.5W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 40SE 40SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 90.5W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 90.6W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 90.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.8N 89.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N 76.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 53.5N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 90.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
