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| #41954 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 PM 25.Aug.2005) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 0300Z FRI AUG 26 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY WEST NORTHWARD...AND ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF JUPITER HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 80.7W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 80.7W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 80.3W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N 81.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 55NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 83.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N 84.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 31.5N 84.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 37.0N 80.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 80.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
