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| #4232 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 11.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 1500Z WED AUG 11 2004 AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...15000Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 90.5W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 89.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 86.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.3N 83.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 45.5N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 90.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
