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| #4234 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 11.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED AUG 11 2004 ...BONNIE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...15000Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42001 LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF BONNIE REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 47 MPH WITH A GUST TO 60 MPH DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS SATURATED THE GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF BONNIE BY THURSDAY MORNING. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.9 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
