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| #43334 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 31.Aug.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WHICH BECAME A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO HAS RE-GENERATED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THIS IS BASED ON DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS OF 2.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB AND A SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE AROUND 10Z WHICH SHOWS A CONVECTIVE RING ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONICALLY CURVED CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER BUT THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED. IT APPEARS THAT THE DEPRESSION IS VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IF IT NOT ONE NOW...IT COULD BE ONE LATER TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 040 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BE POORLY DEFINED DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF THE LOW TO THE NORTHWEST AND A BUILDING HIGH TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS TRACK IS IN BETWEEN THE GFDL AND CLIMATOLOGY. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 28.8N 50.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL |
