Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995
The Atlantic is quiet
|
Show Selection: |
| #4351 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 11.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004 ...BONNIE SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED...CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA THURSDAY MORNING. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT BONNIE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED AND THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND BONNIE MAY BRIEFLY BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE EXTRAPOLATED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD BE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN APALACHEE BAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 88.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
