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| #43528 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 01.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 1500Z THU SEP 01 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 46.1W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 46.1W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.5W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.2N 52.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.1N 54.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 26.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 46.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA |
