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#43617 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 01.Sep.2005)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0300Z FRI SEP 02 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 47.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 47.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.2N 48.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.4N 50.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.9N 51.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 34.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 47.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

FORECASTER KNABB