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| #43652 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 02.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 0900Z FRI SEP 02 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 48.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 48.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 47.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.6N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.2N 50.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.0N 52.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.8N 53.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 34.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
