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| #437483 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 29.Jun.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011 1500 UTC WED JUN 29 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TUXPAN NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM TUXPAN NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA ALGODONES A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 95.7W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 95.7W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 95.3W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.2N 96.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.2N 97.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N 98.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.8N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 95.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BEVEN |
