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#437538 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 29.Jun.2011)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
2100 UTC WED JUN 29 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO LA
CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO
LA PESCA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 96.1W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 96.1W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 95.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.1N 96.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.6N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 20.0N 101.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 96.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BEVEN