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| #4385 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 12.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2004 ...BONNIE REMAINS DISORGANIZED... ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES... 285 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT BONNIE REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.4 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN |
