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#442441 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 17.Jul.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 1100 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...BRET DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD...EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.5N 78.0W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST. BRET IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BRET COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTHERN AND WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG |