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| #442548 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 18.Jul.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 1100 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...BRET MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.7N 77.3W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM N OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST. BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH WILL TAKE THE CENTER OF BRET AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BRET COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY AS BRET BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTHERN AND WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
