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| #442777 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 19.Jul.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 75.9W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 75.9W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 76.1W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 30.6N 75.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 31.6N 73.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.9N 72.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 45SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N 70.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 75.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
