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| #445164 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 PM 27.Jul.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042011 2100 UTC WED JUL 27 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DON. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRE FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 87.0W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 87.0W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 86.8W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.1N 88.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N 90.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.8N 92.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.1N 94.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.0N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 31.0N 103.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 87.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
