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| #446910 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 02.Aug.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 0300 UTC WED AUG 03 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * HAITI * SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 66.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......105NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 66.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 68.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT...105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.4N 70.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...105NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 72.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 74.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 78.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 33.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 66.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
