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| #44708 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:28 AM 08.Sep.2005) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005 1500Z THU SEP 08 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 63.2W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 63.2W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 63.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 50.0N 17.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
