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| #44716 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 08.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 1500Z THU SEP 08 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.6W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 450SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.6W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 48.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 40.2N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.7N 43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 43.3N 41.3W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.5N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 170SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 225NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 56.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 61.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 47.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |
