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#44780 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 08.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 2100Z THU SEP 08 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 46.8W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 450SW 275NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 46.8W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.3W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.5N 45.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 100NW. 34 KT...330NE 275SE 250SW 225NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 59.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 63.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 46.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |