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#44857 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 09.Sep.2005)
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0900Z FRI SEP 09 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND A
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 75SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.9N 78.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.5N 77.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.0N 77.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N 76.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.7N 76.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 30.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 79.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN