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| #4496 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:40 PM 12.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004 ...BONNIE BEGINS TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...BUT STILL PRODUCING STRONG SQUALLS ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA WESTWARD IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. A TURN MORE TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS NOW OCCURRING NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH AND TO THE EAST OF BONNIE. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...30.1 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN |
