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| #449775 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 13.Aug.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 0300 UTC SUN AUG 14 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 61.6W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 61.6W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 28.6N 62.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.1N 63.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 43.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
