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| #449943 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 14.Aug.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 14 2011 ...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BUT EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BERMUDA BY TONIGHT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.2N 63.2W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA AND SURROUNDING WATERS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL APPROACH BERMUDA TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES...BASED ON RECENT NOAA BUOY REPORTS. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
