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| #450084 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:37 PM 14.Aug.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 800 PM AST SUN AUG 14 2011 ...GERT EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 63.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST. GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GERT IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF BERMUDA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.. MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...GERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ON BERMUDA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GERT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA LATER TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
