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| #45024 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 09.Sep.2005) TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARIA IS STARTING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT INTERACTS WITH WITH A MID/UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY TROUGH AND MOVES OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HR...BUT CONTINUE AND EVEN RE-INTENSIFY AS A BAROCLINIC LOW BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY ANOTHER LOW IN ABOUT 120 HR NEAR OR OVER SCANDINAVIA. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/14. MARIA SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD WITH ACCELERATION FOR 72 HR...THEN GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD AT HIGH LATITUDE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 42.5N 39.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 10/1200Z 44.5N 38.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 11/0000Z 48.2N 35.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 11/1200Z 52.0N 33.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 12/0000Z 55.7N 31.5W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 13/0000Z 61.0N 24.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 14/0000Z 66.0N 9.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW |
