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| #450258 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 15.Aug.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GERT ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 1100 AM AST MON AUG 15 2011 ...GERT BEGINNING TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...CENTER EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 63.2W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST. GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GERT IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
