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#450329 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 15.Aug.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GERT ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 500 PM AST MON AUG 15 2011 ...GERT SKIRTS BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 62.7W ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST. GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. GERT HAS REACHED ITS CLOSEST DISTANCE TO BERMUDA AND IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE ISLAND. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |