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| #451216 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:55 AM 19.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 800 AM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 ...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE HONDURAN COAST...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT ABOUT TO ARRIVE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 83.7W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS * THE COAST OF GUATEMALA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS TODAY AND SATURDAY AND MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...BUT ONLY A SMALL INCREASE WOULD BRING THE DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS AND OVER THE BAY ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT AND ON THE COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO AFFECT BELIZE ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
