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| #451730 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 20.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 ...WEAKENING HARVEY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 90.2W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNW OF TIKAL GUATEMALA ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO EASTERN MEXICO ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY. RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA... WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
