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| #451790 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 21.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 400 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 ...HARVEY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 92.0W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COASTLINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO BY EARLY MONDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG |
