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| #451797 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 21.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 0900 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF CABO ENGANO. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN * DOMINICA * BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF CABO ENGANO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ON PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...AND IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 61.3W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 61.3W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 60.4W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 63.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.5N 66.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.0N 69.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.6N 71.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.3N 75.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.8N 78.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N 80.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 61.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
