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| #452593 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 23.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 1500 UTC TUE AUG 23 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TO A HURRICANE WARNING. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 71.0W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 120SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 71.0W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 70.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.3N 72.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.3N 73.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.6N 75.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 150SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.3N 76.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.2N 77.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 170SE 130SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 33.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 37.5N 76.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 71.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
