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#455617 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 02.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 52.4W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......135NE 105SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 52.4W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 53.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 55.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.6N 56.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N 57.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 105SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 52.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |