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#455697 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 02.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 2100 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 53.5W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 180SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 53.5W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 53.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 55.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 57.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.9N 58.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 135SE 90SW 135NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |