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#455951 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 03.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 55.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 210SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 55.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 55.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.3N 57.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.3N 58.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 60.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.7N 62.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 105SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.0N 69.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 55.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |