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| #455952 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 03.Sep.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 91.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 175SE 0SW 95NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 91.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 91.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.7N 91.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.3N 91.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.9N 91.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 175SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.4N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 175SE 90SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 35.0N 84.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 37.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 91.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
