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#456305 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 04.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 59.2W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 105NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 59.2W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 58.8W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.9N 60.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.1N 62.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...165NE 120SE 90SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.2N 64.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...165NE 120SE 105SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.2N 65.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...165NE 135SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...165NE 150SE 135SW 165NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 59.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |