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#456306 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 04.Sep.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 91.9W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 90SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 91.9W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 92.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.1N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.6N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.6N 87.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 36.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 91.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |