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#456714 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 05.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 63.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 63.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 62.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.6N 64.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.9N 65.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.1N 67.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N 68.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 165SE 135SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 135SW 135NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 37.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 40.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 63.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |