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#457436 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 07.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC WED SEP 07 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 68.8W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 75NW. 34 KT.......180NE 135SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 320SE 260SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 68.8W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.6N 69.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.8N 69.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.4N 69.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.1N 66.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 135SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 42.5N 52.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 100SW 60NW. 34 KT...175NE 240SE 210SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 60.0N 8.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |