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| #457636 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:13 PM 07.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS... AND SAINT KITTS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 46.2W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 46.2W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 45.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.7N 49.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.3N 53.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.1N 56.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.1N 59.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.5N 71.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
