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| #457970 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 08.Sep.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 45NE 50SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N 92.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 50SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 92.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.2N 93.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.7N 94.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 96.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 21.5N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 92.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART |
