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#458050 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 09.Sep.2011)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N 92.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.7N 93.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.8N 94.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.9N 95.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.5N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN