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| #458280 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:01 PM 09.Sep.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 93.2W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 75SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 110SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 93.2W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 92.9W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.2N 93.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 75SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.1N 94.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 95.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.8N 96.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N 99.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 93.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
